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Posted


2009 February Sweep (in March) Prediction Game

Only days away from the start of the very first time Nielsen has done a Sweep in May.

This year, because of the DTC Conversion which was originally scheduled for February, the February Sweep was moved to March for one year only. Some broadcast networks and a few affiliates have groused that the Sweep doesn't matter, won't provide comparable data, etc., but all the same, the seven major broadcasters have put forward a mostly original Sweep line-up, which in and of itself is unusual for the month of March.

The 2009 February Sweep (in March) Prediction Game is just days away. This year, the Sweep runs from Thursday March 5th to Wednesday April 1st.

You may be wondering how did the top seven broadcast networks fare in the 2008 February Sweep last season?

Here are the results from last season:

			nights
demo		demo	won
Rank	web	2008	2008
1	FOX	6.87	17.5
2	ABC	2.68	5 
3	NBC	2.47	4.5
4	CBS	2.24	1
5	UNI	1.60			
6	CW	0.90			
7	MNT	0.46	
	total	16.58	28

			nights
viewers		viewers	won
rank	web	2008	2008
1	FOX	17.853	15
2	CBS	8.111	4
3	ABC	8.094	5
4	NBC	7.574	4
5	UNI	3.639	
6	CW	2.338	
7	MNT	1.202	
	total	47.650	28
  

So now it's your turn to predict the outcome of the 2009 February Sweep (in March). Using the template below, state your predicted viewer and A18-49 averages for each of the seven networks. As the Sweep progresses, check under last nights results for my nightly Sweep reporting to see how you are faring with your prediction.

When the sweep is over, I'll score it (like tv-aholic does in the daily game) so that the person who was closest at predicting the 14 Sweep result numbers will join Zedman2 (February 2008, November 2008 co-winner), Dumont (May 2008), mushu_jj (July 2008) and tvfan300 (November 2008 co-winner) in the SweepMaster club and take the crown as the fifth Sweep Master.

My 2009 February Sweep (in March) Prediction is:
NET   A18-49 (millions of 2+ Viewers)
-------------------------------------
ABC   ?.?    ??.???
CBS   ?.?    ??.???
NBC   ?.?    ??.???
FOX   ?.?    ??.???
UNI   ?.?    ??.???
CW    ?.?    ??.???
MNT   ?.?    ??.???
 


Good luck to all contestants who enter!

Dumont, Sweepmaster.


May 2008
dumont

The deadline for final entries will be 8:00 AM on Friday March 6th as the very first overnight reports are being relayed across the country.
 
Posts: 6497 | Registered: 09 December 2006Reply With QuoteReport This Post
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As has been the tradition, I shall put forth the first prediction:

My 2009 February Sweep (in March) Prediction is:
NET   A18-49 (millions of 2+ Viewers)
-------------------------------------
ABC   2.7     7.985
CBS   2.9    10.765
NBC   2.3     7.305
FOX   4.1    11.325
UNI   1.7     4.140
CW    1.0     2.080
MNT   0.8     1.910
 

FOX will be down, but that's mostly due to the Super Bowl last year.

CBS and MyNetworkTV will both be up by quite a bit over last years numbers, while the rest of the networks will be pretty steady to last year. NBC would have seen an improvement if it had skedded the ER finale within the Sweep.
 
Posts: 6497 | Registered: 09 December 2006Reply With QuoteReport This Post
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My 2009 February Sweep (in March) Prediction is:
NET   A18-49 (millions of 2+ Viewers)
-------------------------------------
FOX   4.0    11.15
CBS   2.8    11.11
ABC   2.7     8.70
NBC   2.1     6.30
UNI   1.6     4.01
CW    0.9     2.11
MNT   0.5     1.75


 
Posts: 604 | Registered: 03 October 2007Reply With QuoteReport This Post
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The Obveeus 2009 February Sweep (in March) Prediction is:
NET   A18-49 (millions of 2+ Viewers)
-------------------------------------
ABC   2.65     7.987
CBS   2.54     9.990
NBC   2.44     7.333
FOX   3.95    10.888
UNI   1.60     3.555
CW    0.95     2.123
MNT   0.68     1.654
 
Posts: 9799 | Registered: 16 November 2006Reply With QuoteReport This Post
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My 2009 February Sweep (in March) Prediction is:
NET   A18-49 (millions of 2+ Viewers)
-------------------------------------
ABC   2.7     7.525
CBS   2.9    10.625
NBC   2.1     6.315
FOX   3.9    11.985
UNI   1.5     3.575
CW     .9     1.765
MNT   0.5     1.425
 


The final results should be interesting. Difficult to compare this Sweep period to last years. March will be affected by Daylight Savings Time and lower HUT levels vrs last February.


Start Here

 
Posts: 4193 | Registered: 20 September 2006Reply With QuoteReport This Post
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My 2009 February Sweep (in March) Prediction is:
NET A18-49 (millions of 2+ Viewers)
-------------------------------------
ABC 2.9 9.211
CBS 3.0 11.142
NBC 2.5 7.257
FOX 4.2 10.320
UNI 1.5 3.354
CW 1.1 2.102
MNT 0.7 1.450
 
Posts: 360 | Location: Portugal | Registered: 09 March 2008Reply With QuoteReport This Post
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My 2009 February Sweep (in March) Prediction is:
NET   A18-49 (millions of 2+ Viewers)
-------------------------------------
ABC   2.8    9.872
CBS   3.1    11.545
NBC   2.4    6.471
FOX   3.9    10.987
UNI   1.5    3.687
CW    1.0    2.077
MNT   0.7    1.745




VOTE IN THE PIF NETWORK GAME: http://pifeedback.com/eve/foru...93910104/m/534109082
TONIGHT: DIVERGENT POINT, THE ONLINE LIFE (RETURN!), YOU'VE GOT THE WRONG MAN!, GREATEST DAY, AND BACK FOR GOOD!
 
Posts: 6259 | Registered: 02 January 2008Reply With QuoteReport This Post
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My 2009 February Sweep (in March) Prediction is:
NET A18-49 (millions of 2+ Viewers)
-------------------------------------
ABC 3.29 9.016
CBS 3.38 11.958
NBC 2.68 7.239
FOX 4.13 11.549
UNI 1.58 3.486
CW 1.02 2.679
MNT 0.79 1.873
 
Posts: 236 | Location: Amsterdam, NL | Registered: 03 December 2006Reply With QuoteReport This Post
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My 2009 February Sweep (in March) Prediction is:
NET   A18-49 (millions of 2+ Viewers)
-------------------------------------
FOX   4.3    11.98
CBS   3.1    11.67
ABC   2.7     9.29
NBC   2.3     6.85
UNI   1.6     4.21
CW    0.8     2.03
MNT   0.7     1.73
 
Posts: 8187 | Location: Houston, TX | Registered: 19 November 2006Reply With QuoteReport This Post
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My 2009 February Sweep (in March) Prediction is:
NET A18-49 (millions of 2+ Viewers)
-------------------------------------
ABC 2.7 8.950
CBS 3.0 11.000
NBC 2.4 6.750
FOX 4.0 12.000
UNI 1.7 4.125
CW 1.0 2.000
MNT 0.8 1.800


 
Posts: 7890 | Registered: 17 September 2007Reply With QuoteReport This Post
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My 2009 February Sweep (in March) Prediction is:
  
NET   A18-49 (millions of 2+ Viewers)
-------------------------------------
FOX   4.5    11.51
CBS   3.2    11.12
ABC   3.0     9.00
NBC   2.5     7.00
UNI   1.6     4.21
CW    0.6     1.79
MNT   0.6     1.77
 
Posts: 4680 | Registered: 20 September 2006Reply With QuoteReport This Post
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2009 February Sweep (in March) Prediction is:
NET A18-49 (millions of 2+ Viewers)
-------------------------------------
ABC 2.65 7.987
CBS 2.61 11.410
NBC 2.19 6.503
FOX 3.83 10.607
UNI 1.58 3.955
CW 0.95 2.021
MNT 0.53 1.054




"LasVegas":http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YQ2xL0dYfTw
 
Posts: 988 | Registered: 29 February 2008Reply With QuoteReport This Post
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The deadline for entries into this years Sweep Prediction Game has passed.

Let the Sweep begin!

Dumont,
Sweepmaster.

May 2008
dumont

The deadline for final entries will be 8:00 AM on Friday March 6th as the very first overnight reports are being relayed across the country.
 
Posts: 6497 | Registered: 09 December 2006Reply With QuoteReport This Post
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February 2009 Sweep (in March) Prediction Game...And the Winner Is...

Once again, this special March Sweep was a very close race amongst the PIfeedback mob, with two new players ending up in the top 3.

There is a new Sweepmaster to welcome to the club. There are now five certified holders of the Golden Broom.

Here is the scoring network by network, with the roll-up and final standings at the very end.

network	ABC	diff fr	rank	ABC	diff fr	rank
rating	views	actual	#	A18-49	actual	#
ACTUAL	8.771			2.6		
PIF avg	8.684	0.087		2.8	-0.2	
dumont	7.985	0.786	9	2.7	-0.1	3
megatron	8.700	0.071	1	2.7	-0.1	3
obveeus	7.987	0.784	7	2.7	0.0	1
zedman2	7.525	1.246	11	2.7	-0.1	3
vitorfern	9.211	-0.440	5	2.9	-0.3	9
yankees	9.872	-1.101	10	2.8	-0.2	8
totp	9.016	-0.245	4	3.3	-0.7	11
tvfan300	9.290	-0.519	6	2.7	-0.1	3
wlcmlapd	8.950	-0.179	2	2.7	-0.1	3
vlis	9.000	-0.229	3	3.0	-0.4	10
caseym	7.987	0.784	7	2.7	0.0	1
						
network	CBS	diff fr	rank	CBS	diff fr	rank
rating	views	actual	#	A18-49	actual	#
ACTUAL	11.448			3.1		
PIF avg	11.121	0.327		3.0	0.1	
dumont	10.765	0.683	9	2.9	0.2	6
megatron	11.110	0.338	6	2.8	0.3	8
obveeus	9.990	1.458	11	2.5	0.6	11
zedman2	10.625	0.823	10	2.9	0.2	6
vitorfern	11.142	0.306	4	3.0	0.1	3
yankees	11.545	-0.097	2	3.1	0.0	1
totp	11.958	-0.510	8	3.4	-0.3	8
tvfan300	11.670	-0.222	3	3.1	0.0	1
wlcmlapd	11.000	0.448	7	3.0	0.1	3
vlis	11.120	0.328	5	3.2	-0.1	3
caseym	11.410	0.038	1	2.6	0.5	10
						
network	NBC	diff fr	rank	NBC	diff fr	rank
rating	views	actual	#	A18-49	actual	#
ACTUAL	6.073			2.1		
PIF avg	6.847	-0.774		2.4	-0.3	
dumont	7.305	-1.232	10	2.3	-0.2	4
megatron	6.300	-0.227	1	2.1	0.0	1
obveeus	7.330	-1.257	11	2.4	-0.3	6
zedman2	6.315	-0.242	2	2.1	0.0	1
vitorfern	7.257	-1.184	9	2.5	-0.4	9
yankees	6.471	-0.398	3	2.4	-0.3	6
totp	7.239	-1.166	8	2.7	-0.6	11
tvfan300	6.850	-0.777	6	2.3	-0.2	4
wlcmlapd	6.750	-0.677	5	2.4	-0.3	6
vlis	7.000	-0.927	7	2.5	-0.4	9
caseym	6.503	-0.430	4	2.2	-0.1	3
						
network	FOX	diff fr	rank	FOX	diff fr	rank
rating	views	actual	#	A18-49	actual	#
ACTUAL	10.516			3.9		
PIF avg	11.300	-0.784		4.1	-0.2	
dumont	11.325	-0.809	6	4.1	-0.2	7
megatron	11.150	-0.634	5	4.0	-0.1	3
obveeus	10.888	-0.372	3	4.0	-0.1	3
zedman2	11.985	-1.469	10	3.9	0.0	1
vitorfern	10.320	0.196	2	4.2	-0.3	9
yankees	10.987	-0.471	4	3.9	0.0	1
totp	11.549	-1.033	8	4.1	-0.2	7
tvfan300	11.980	-1.464	9	4.3	-0.4	10
wlcmlapd	12.000	-1.484	11	4.0	-0.1	3
vlis	11.510	-0.994	7	4.5	-0.6	11
caseym	10.607	-0.091	1	3.8	0.1	3
						
network	UNI	diff fr	rank	UNI	diff fr	rank
rating	views	actual	#	A18-49	actual	#
ACTUAL	4.003			1.7		
PIF avg	3.846	0.157		1.6	0.1	
dumont	4.140	-0.137	4	1.7	0.0	1
megatron	4.010	-0.007	1	1.6	0.1	3
obveeus	3.555	0.448	9	1.6	0.1	3
zedman2	3.575	0.428	8	1.5	0.2	9
vitorfern	3.354	0.649	11	1.5	0.2	9
yankees	3.687	0.316	7	1.5	0.2	9
totp	3.486	0.517	10	1.6	0.1	3
tvfan300	4.210	-0.207	5	1.6	0.1	3
wlcmlapd	4.125	-0.122	3	1.7	0.0	1
vlis	4.210	-0.207	5	1.6	0.1	3
caseym	3.955	0.048	2	1.6	0.1	3
						
network	CW	diff fr	rank	CW	diff fr	rank
rating	views	actual	#	A18-49	actual	#
ACTUAL	1.889			0.8		
PIF avg	2.071	-0.182		0.9	-0.1	
dumont	2.080	-0.191	7	1.0	-0.2	4
megatron	2.110	-0.221	9	0.9	-0.1	2
obveeus	2.123	-0.234	10	1.0	-0.2	4
zedman2	1.765	0.124	3	0.9	-0.1	2
vitorfern	2.102	-0.213	8	1.1	-0.3	11
yankees	2.077	-0.188	6	1.0	-0.2	4
totp	2.679	-0.790	11	1.0	-0.2	4
tvfan300	2.030	-0.141	5	0.8	0.0	1
wlcmlapd	2.000	-0.111	2	1.0	-0.2	4
vlis	1.790	0.099	1	0.6	0.2	4
caseym	2.021	-0.132	4	1.0	-0.2	4
						
network	MNT	diff fr	rank	MNT	diff fr	rank
rating	views	actual	#	A18-49	actual	#
ACTUAL	1.658			0.5		
PIF avg	1.651	0.007		0.7	-0.2	
dumont	1.910	-0.252	10	0.8	-0.3	9
megatron	1.750	-0.092	4	0.5	0.0	1
obveeus	1.654	0.004	1	0.7	-0.2	5
zedman2	1.425	0.233	9	0.5	0.0	1
vitorfern	1.450	0.208	7	0.7	-0.2	5
yankees	1.745	-0.087	3	0.7	-0.2	5
totp	1.873	-0.215	8	0.8	-0.3	9
tvfan300	1.730	-0.072	2	0.7	-0.2	5
wlcmlapd	1.800	-0.142	6	0.8	-0.3	9
vlis	1.770	-0.112	5	0.6	-0.1	4
caseym	1.054	0.604	11	0.5	0.0	1

network	total	final				
rating	points	standing				
ACTUAL						
PIF avg						
dumont	89	9				
megatron	48	1				
obveeus	85	8				
zedman2	76	6				
vitorfern	101	10				
yankees	69	5				
totp	110	11				
tvfan300	63	3				
wlcmlapd	65	4				
vlis	77	7				
caseym	55	2
  


The new Sweepmaster and holder of the Golden Broom is...(drum roll)....




**********
*megatron*
**********


The standings after four Sweeps Prediction Games:

February 2008 - zedman2
May 2008 - dumont
July 2008 - mushu_jj
November 2008 – zedman2 & tvfan300 (tie)
February 2008 (in March) - megatron

See you all soon again for the May Sweep (beginning in just a few weeks), and then the July Sweep this summer…in the space of five months, there will be three Sweep periods!

dumont,
May 2008 Sweepmaster

May 2008
dumont

This message has been edited. Last edited by: dumont,
 
Posts: 6497 | Registered: 09 December 2006Reply With QuoteReport This Post
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dumont,
Thanks for helping to keep what was a boring sweeps period a bit more interesting. I really appreciate the daily updates on sweeps standings compared with the prior year.

megatron,
Congratulations on the victory. Time for you to send some resumes to the networks.
 
Posts: 9799 | Registered: 16 November 2006Reply With QuoteReport This Post
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