Hell’s Kitchen to a second-place finish in both total viewers (11.08 million) and adults 18-49 (4.9/12)
Great demo for Hell's Kitchen! Ramsey was his same old self last night.
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Originally posted by WlcmLAPD: I agree. With AI's demos, FOX will be in first for the season in the 18 to 49 demos. ABC and CBS will battle for second. For ABC, it's a question of how well DWTS comes back, how their new shows perform, and if GA/PP's crossover can produce high demos.
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Originally posted by mushu_jj: And that number will continue to get larger and larger for Fox, perhaps as large as a whole ratings point.
I disagree,
FOX won't be number 1 for a few weeks since the superbowl alone will overwhelme everyone. CBS will fall to 3rd and ABC to 4th. ABC actually may end up being 4th for the season.
Originally posted by TV-aholic: Are you ready for a Cardinal Victory in the Super Bowl??? You should because Warner and Fitzgerld are gonna light it up!
Warner will set a new record with '6' interceptions. I suppose that gives Fitzgerald a shot at setting the record for most tackles by a WR.
Originally posted by TV-aholic: Yea, CBS currently has a 10% lead and the fight for 2nd will be a close one. the big question will be, as it always is in the spring.... Will ABC have its Annual Spring slide in the ratings?
What usually helps CBS is its strength with repeat episodes, something NBC and ABC cant seem to do. This week is a good example of that. CBS has a good lead on ABC despite only having 3 of its regular seires airing new episodes, and having the baggage of the Wednesday 8pm hour included.
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Originally posted by mushu_jj: It's going to be Fox in first and ABC and CBS dueling for second. I think CBS has a slight advantage right now.
Good Point.
ABC has been new most of this week less 1 hour on Wednesday and 2 hours on Thursday. CBS has had repeats all week less 2 hours on Tuesday, Stupid Couric on Wednesday and 2 hours on Thursday yet they are ahead of ABC by a good margin.
ABC new programming this week: 9 hours CBS new programming this week: 4.5 hours
Originally posted by WlcmLAPD: I agree. With AI's demos, FOX will be in first for the season in the 18 to 49 demos. ABC and CBS will battle for second. For ABC, it's a question of how well DWTS comes back, how their new shows perform, and if GA/PP's crossover can produce high demos.
quote:
Originally posted by mushu_jj: And that number will continue to get larger and larger for Fox, perhaps as large as a whole ratings point.
I disagree,
FOX won't be number 1 for a few weeks since the superbowl alone will overwhelme everyone. CBS will fall to 3rd and ABC to 4th. ABC actually may end up being 4th for the season.
Originally posted by TAYLORJNG: Great numbers for CSI. I wonder whether or not the episode was good. People are clearly willing to give Fishburne a chance.
Last nights episode was one of the best this season.
Originally posted by WlcmLAPD: I agree. With AI's demos, FOX will be in first for the season in the 18 to 49 demos. ABC and CBS will battle for second. For ABC, it's a question of how well DWTS comes back, how their new shows perform, and if GA/PP's crossover can produce high demos.
quote:
Originally posted by mushu_jj: And that number will continue to get larger and larger for Fox, perhaps as large as a whole ratings point.
I disagree,
FOX won't be number 1 for a few weeks since the superbowl alone will overwhelme everyone. CBS will fall to 3rd and ABC to 4th. ABC actually may end up being 4th for the season.
Final prediction FOX 3.7 CBS 3.3 NBC 3.0 ABC 2.9
NBC will be incredibly lucky to average a 3.0.
I agree, but Loser/SVU/Heroes/ER finale'/Office should be enough to keep it in that range (2.9-3.0 average for the season) which means NBC must average 2.7 demos per week for the rest of the season following the Superbowl. Impossible no.
On the flip side ABC would need to average 3.1 demos following this week to get 3.0 demos. While ABC has some solid nights it also has weak ones. Lost's performance will make or break the network, if it holds its demos all should be well but if it falls to low 4s or (gasp) high 3s then it's all over for ABC.
Originally posted by TV-aholic: That's All??? I know its only 5-5.5 hours of programming, but those numbers will be huge. I would have thought the bump would be bigger than that.
NBC's numbers will be absoluely horrid come may then.
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Originally posted by Zedman2: I think NBC will only gain three tenths of point (.3) in ytd averages after Super Bowl Sunday. They will be ahead of ABC (temporarily), but I think FOX and CBS will still be ahead of NBC when all is said and done come Monday.
But your averaging these numbers over the past 19 weeks. And it's only the difference between what NBC averages for the week and what everyone does. I think NBC will only finish the week with a demo rating between 8.0 and 8.3 with FOX the closest at about 4.2, CBS 2.3 and ABC 2.0
Based on what I'm forecasting for Sunday (and I'm giving ABC a good number two number on that night for their 'Wipeout' counterprogramming), the week should end up A18-49-wise: 1. NBC 7.0, 2. FOX 4.3, 3. CBS 2.4, 4. ABC 2.1
TV-aholic, I'll go back over my historical numbers to find the lowest performing season averaging network who broadcast the Super Bowl. I'm pretty sure there's been a few fourth placers already, at least in households. The Super Bowl bump, once averaged over 36 weeks, is pretty small...for NBC, it will be 7.0-2.5/35 = 0.12 (2.5 is NBC's core average, 2.8 for 13 weeks with 'NFL Sunday Night Football', 2.3 for the 21 weeks without 'NFL Sunday Night Football' or 'Super Bowl').
I think NBC will end the season somewhere around a 2.6 to 2.7 in demo, and that will be good enough for fourth place.
The ugliest fight will be between ABC and CBS for second place, and at this point, with their mid-season changes in place, and their third-season changes readied, my money would be on ABC coming in second.
To do that, ABC need to average 0.3 A18-49 better than CBS every week till the end of the season.
Back in the sixties, NBC were poised at mid-season to win their very first season, Mr. Frank Stanton came up with a 100-day strategy (special-heavy scheduling) to topple NBC, which they did on the very last nights of the season.
I think Mr. McPherson has up his sleeve a similar 100-day strategy of game-on show-no-mercy programming, and ABC will pull ahead in the final week on the A18-49 mojo deliverd by two-hour finales of 'Grey's Anatomy', 'Desperate Housewives' and 'Lost'.
Originally posted by dumont: I think Mr. McPherson has up his sleeve a similar 100-day strategy of game-on show-no-mercy programming, and ABC will pull ahead in the final week on the A18-49 mojo deliverd by two-hour finales of 'Grey's Anatomy', 'Desperate Housewives' and 'Lost'.
The 3 episodes cross-over between Private Practice and Grey's should help too. DWTS is coming back too and The Bachelor is doing great.
Private Practice (58 minutes) - 7.735 million viewers - 5.4/9 HH - 2.8/8 A18-49 *can someone remind me when the last Wednesday original PP was? Would love to compare this to that, or an average of Wednesday PP original finals from this season, and see whether there's been any actual boost to PP yet from its three weeks airing post-GA*
